When asked if anything should be done to prevent members of Congress from owning individual shares of stock, Pelosi recently said, “No. We’re a free market economy. They should be able to participate in that.”
But Pelosi and her family’s history of buying individual securities – and the amount of money involved in those purchases – has certainly raised some eyebrows from media and traders alike.
Jacobin Magazine has even sarcastically given her the title of 2021 Wall Street Trader of the Year.
And a recent report from Business Insider, detailing how 52 members of Congress have violated a law designed to stop insider trading from members of Congress called the STOCK Act, has created a spotlight on the stock market activity of lawmakers.
According to the report, the standard fine for violating the STOCK Act is a mere $200. These lawmakers offer excuses including “ignorance of the law, clerical errors, and mistakes by an accountant.”
All the while, some of these politicians throw around amounts as high as $17.53 MILLION.
Now, Pelosi has never been found guilty of violating this rule.
But her husband has had a great 2020 and 2021 in the stock market, according to her reports. In fact, one of his trades made him $5.3 million exercising call options for shares of GOOGL.
And he isn’t done with GOOGL calls yet… here is the first of her most recent trades.
Alphabet, Inc. (GOOGL) – Purchase on December 17th, 2021
Trade: On December 17th, Pelosi reported a purchase of 10 call options with a strike price of $2,000 and an expiration date of 9/16/22.
Total invested: Estimated $982,500
Despite hints from Pelosi herself that Silicon Valley’s self-regulation days are over, very little has been done to reign in the size of big tech. And the search engine giant has continued to perform well, up 68.77% from Jan 1st – December 31st 2021.
Pelosi’s purchase of a call with a $2,000 strike price while the underlying stock was trading for $2,834 means that these call options are “in the money,” giving the option “intrinsic value.” This is traditionally a much safer bet than buying options that are far out of the money (OTM), but it is an investment that GOOGL will continue to go up.
My Analysis
Through 2021, it appeared serious regulatory restrictions were coming for big tech giants. Although there have been contentious hearings with big tech CEOs, very little has come of them as far as regulations.
This type of trade is impossible for the average person. The minimum investment required to copy this trade exactly, as of this writing, is $96,250. Not exactly a small bet, nor one that a person should make without millions and millions of dollars to offset the risk of this trade.
Having said that, let’s look at the stock itself.
Top-line revenue has grown year-over-year in every quarter so far in 2020. In Q3, sales were up 40% compared to Q3 of 2020. EBITDA was up an eye-popping 65%. In that time, the price has gone up 87.6%. Still, the stock trades at a PE Ratio of 28.05, which is relatively low compared to other big tech giants like AMZN (65.84) and AAPL (31.79). The consensus rating on this stock is that it’s “Undervalued” with an estimated return of 36%, meaning it could be a good time to buy.
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